NBA Rookie of the Year rankings: Early predictions

The NBA offseason is coming to an end with media days and the opening of training camps just around the corner. With the start of the season fast approaching, it’s time to take an early look at the top candidates for Rookie of the Year, where the field may be a bit deeper than we initially assumed despite Chet Holmgren’s unfortunate Lisfranc injury. Let’s break down the favorites, sleeper picks and long shots for the 2022–23 Rookie of the Year Award.


Paolo Banchero, Magic

You won’t necessarily get great value betting on Banchero to win Rookie of the Year, though he is the rightful favorite at the start of the season. The No. 1 pick should be a three-level scorer from his first weeks as a professional, and while he isn’t the most athletic of the top prospects we’ve seen in recent years, there’s a craftiness to Banchero’s game that should quickly translate. He excels at rising up and getting off good looks in tight spaces, and he’s a far more advanced ballhandler than his fellow top picks in Holmgren and Jabari Smith Jr. Banchero’s offensive polish should make for a relatively smooth adjustment to the pro game.

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